Discussion of disposition management and alternative trial structures leads to the conclusion that courts need to gauge their resources and schedule numbers of cases for trial in a mode that will bring them to trial within a reasonable time, Data suggest that the number of cases scheduled for trial will have to increase dramatically to make inroads on the backlog of cases and even to keep pace with current filings.
Data on asbestos case dispositions, however, have a low level of reliability due to several idiosyncratic features of asbestos litigation. Cases are not officially terminated until the clerk files a form with the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts denoting the final disposition. In asbestos litigation, this may mean that final settlement papers have been filed as to all defendants who are not in bankruptcy. With an average of twenty defendants, one should expect that recorded dispositions will lag behind the reality of settlements. In cases involving multiple claimants, the termination cannot be recorded until all settlements are filed.323 Mass settlements, such as the Jenkins class action, cannot fully be recorded until individual settlements are accepted and recorded. Partial settlements with individual defendants, such as the Raymark-Blatt & Fales agreement, are not recorded at all in the Administrative Office data, skewing the data further toward understating the number of dispositions.
With this major caveat, what follows is the only available quantitative data on asbestos case filing and dispositions in federal courts.
Table 11 shows an overall ratio of filings to dispositions in the years 1985-1986 of 3.7 to 1. For every recorded case disposition, there are 3.7 new cases filed in the ten courts studied. Major filings in Massachusetts and Eastern Texas in 1985 and Northern Ohio in 1986 inflate the results, but even without those extremes, the
323. In the District of Maryland, this meant that of eighty-seven settlements filed with the clerks office between November 1984 and May 1985, only forty-seven resulted in case terminations. Memorandum from Mark Kozlowski, Asbestos Clerk, to Joseph Haas, Clerk of Court, Nov. 6, 1985 (on file at the Federal Judicial Center).
Chapter IX
TABLE 11
Filing and Dispositions of Asbestos Cases for Ten Federal District Courts by Year, 1981-1986
Court |
Mass, |
N.J. |
E.Pa. |
W.Pa. |
Md. |
S.C. |
E.La. |
E.Tex. |
N.Ohio | E. Train. | Total |
1981 Fa
1981 Dh |
304 0 |
78 57 |
87 53 |
32 12 |
24 3 |
135 77 |
48 4 |
143 84 |
36 4 |
33 39 |
920 333 |
1982 F 1982 D |
571 0 |
73 22 |
140 55 |
29 25 |
50 5 |
81 131 |
35 2 |
236 80 |
16 6 |
42 22 |
1,273 348 |
1983 F 1983 D |
554 4 |
22 35 |
142 69 |
37 36 |
125 10 |
22 79 |
27 1 |
215 14 |
14 3 |
25 12 |
1,183 263 |
1984 F 1984 D |
628 15 |
13 48 |
201 107 |
33 15 |
76 11 |
71 37 |
70 90 |
374 56 |
6 11 |
26 12 |
1,498 402 |
1985 F 1985 D |
740 16 |
39 30 |
309 165 |
7 14 |
153 52 |
70 27 |
74 50 |
823 84 |
94 72 |
16 27 |
2,325 537 |
1986 Fc 1986 Dc |
180 293 |
2 7 |
159 133 |
31 6 |
144 33 |
55 9 |
82 30 |
305 64 |
853 1 |
11 15 |
1,822 591 |
Total Fd Total Dd |
3,090 330 |
325 220 |
1,134 595 |
197 108 |
625 116 |
590 372 |
362 180 |
2,480 469 |
1,063 104 |
210 164 |
10,076 2,658 |
aF represents filings for the calendar year. hD represents dispositions for the calendar year. cFigures for 1986 are for the period from Jan. 1,1986 to June 30,1986.
dThese totals include filings and dispositions prior to 1981 and therefore do not represent the totals of the columns.
number of new filings would far outstrip dispositions. New filings have increased dramatically in 1985 and the first half of 1986, reflecting a national increase in asbestos filings in all federal courts, as shown in table 12. Since 1984 the rate of recorded dispositions per year has increased, with the largest increase being in 1986 when the rate more than doubled.
More than half of all federal asbestos claims were filed in the two and a half years from January 1, 1984, to June 30, 1986. To keep pace, courts will have to increase the number of cases scheduled for trial.
Reports from interviews mirror some of the statistical data and also underscore the limitations of the numbers. InEastern Pennsylvania, for example, the court was on schedule to finish all 1985 filing by the end of 1987. InNorthern Ohio, the court was in the process of creating and testing modified case management plans to deal with a new wave of cases. InSouth Carolina, the court scheduled a fall 1986 special term of court to clear the asbestos backlog. InEastern Texasthe parties began using the arbitration process to dispose of the cases filed after January 1, 1985. In Eastern Louisiana andMaryland, the courts were scheduling cases filed in 1986
TABLE 12
Asbestos Cases Filed in All Federal District Courts by Year, 1974-1986″
Year Number Percentage
1974″ |
1 |
0 |
1975″ |
22 |
0 |
1976″ |
53 |
0 |
1977a |
149 |
1 |
1978 |
272 |
1 |
1980 |
1,450 |
7 |
1981 |
1,955 |
9 |
1982 |
2,208 |
11 |
1983 |
2,379 |
11 |
1984 |
3,269 |
16 |
1985 |
4,832 |
23 |
1986b |
_3,660 |
17 |
Total cases |
20,837 |
“Filings for 1974-1977 include only those cases terminated after July 1,1977. See supra note 45, bPigures for 1986 are for the period from January 1 to June 30.
for trials in 1989 and 1990, respectively. There were indications in most districts of an awareness of the backlog and of a plan to reduce it. Not all of the plans, however, called for movement of a sufficient number of cases to reduce the backlog if filings continue at the current rate.
What is the prognosis for asbestos injury litigation? The lawyers interviewed did not have a uniform picture of future trends. Most, however, were of the opinion that the major wave of massive, intensive exposure has passed with the filing of most shipyard worker cases. New cases represent exposure to asbestos during the 1960s, just prior to the widespread adoption of more stringent precautions in the 1970s. While fewer cases could be expected from the less intense exposure of the 1960s and 1970s, many expected the injuries to be more serious, on the average. Long-range forecasts indicate that the numbers of cases in all courts will double, but that the rate of filing will taper off considerably in the next ten years,324
Whether filings will continue to grow in the federal courts depends, at least in part, on how plaintiffs’ counsel perceive the capacity of those courts to resolve their claims fairly and relatively expeditiously. One set of factors influencing plaintiffs’ choice between federal and state forums relates to relatively fixed proce-
324. See the discussion supra at notes 11-18.
Chapter IX
dures, such as jury size and voting rules (e.g., accepting nonunanimous verdicts), discovery limits, and rules of evidence. The other major set of factors, one that varies over time and in relation to the state courts, is the amount of delay in securing a trial date. In several districts in which federal courts had proved to be slower than state courts, some plaintiffs’ lawyers stated that they had filed or planned to file future cases in state courts. InMassachusettsandNew Jersey, the figures in table 11 show a drop in filings. In other districts, the predicted reductions did not occur.
In short, data on dispositions and filings give no grounds for optimism about prospects for eliminating the backlog of asbestos cases. Unless current plans are modified to take account of the reality of continued filings, so that the rate of dispositions exceeds new filings, by definition no progress will be made on that backlog. Waiting forWellingtonto settle future cases seems impractical, givenWellington’s current policy of waiting for the courts to schedule trials. Polite curtsies are a prelude to waltzing in circles.